|
3.7.6 Social TrendsVersion 1.0 November 2020 (Previous Version) ( Paragraph 1 Trans Error: Unknown )What are the major social trends? ( Paragraph 2 Trans Error: Unknown )How will the internet change the future? Is culture being changed? Are we getting a global culture driven by mobile phones? ( Paragraph 3 Trans Error: Unknown )Will the trend to tolerate more diversity continue and spread around the world? Will marriage equality become the norm? Will religious tolerance become prevalent? ( Paragraph 4 Trans Error: Unknown )How will child raising change in the future? ( Paragraph 5 Trans Error: Unknown )Will there be enough people to sustain the elderly and infirm who can't work? ( Paragraph 6 Trans Error: Unknown )Will a pandemic help to reduce the population significantly? ( Paragraph 7 Trans Error: Unknown )This section covers social trends, while avoiding the party political aspects covered in Section 3.7.5 on Political Trends. It covers changes in sexual relationships, family life, work life, social media and communities. ( Paragraph 8 Trans Error: Unknown )Although there remain many conservative societies, mainly dominated by traditional Christian and Islamic beliefs and practices, overall societies are becoming more tolerant of diversity, especially in women’s roles, gender and sexual preferences, religious freedom, dress codes and so on. These trends continue to liberate people from unnecessary, unhelpful restrictions. At the same time it is possible that societies will be able to see what social constraints are really necessary and helpful, to maintain order and security, and promote prosperity, despite the current predominance of fake news, false conspiracy theories and fear mongering. ( Paragraph 9 Trans Error: Unknown )The roles of parents looking after children will inevitably be affected by all the other historical trends. Infants should be sheltered from social media and screen based devices. Older children will be more connected, but still need to have a stable home life with sensible discipline, as well as protection from trolls. The roles of adult children looking after aging parents – childering – will also change as medical technology improves and productivity advances allow societies to devote more resources to aged care, both at home and in care centres, that need not be restricted to the aged. ( Paragraph 10 Trans Error: Unknown )Social media currently provides not just remote and continuous connection with others, but also provides distribution channels for fake news, trolls, conspiracy theorists, online harassment and stalking and so on. The highly profitable social media companies can be forces to use some of their income to mediate and moderate misinformation and social harm. ( Paragraph 11 Trans Error: Unknown )At present, for most adults, work or the lack of it dominates our waking hours and structures most of our time. This includes housework, parenting and childering, as well as the production of goods and delivery of services. As automation continues, and the population eventually declines, the amount of work required to provide healthy, engaging and prosperous lives will inevitably decrease. There is a need to provide universal services, such as education, health, accommodation and legal services, for the many who, through no fault of their own, cannot have sufficiently rewarded work. (Universal services are more effective and efficient than the mooted universal income, but still, in the immediate term, access to ‘unemployment benefits’ should be much less restricted than it is now.) There is also a need to ensure work is distributed better, and for the unlimited centralisation of capital to be constrained. These proposals could have a major positive impact on the lives of all workers. ( Paragraph 12 Trans Error: Unknown )Similarly, urban design, which has for the last few hundred years been focussed on providing workers to mines, farms, factories and offices will need to be updated for the new reality, of more automated mines, farms, factories and offices, less need for workers to produce physical goods, more services in health, education and recreation. Warehouses and supermarkets are becoming more automated. Driverless cars and trucks will reduce the demand for delivery drivers and taxi services. Many countries already have declining populations, and all countries should share in reducing the world’s population to bring about less drain on its natural resources. After the covid-19 pandemic, telecommuting – working from home – will be more prevalent for ‘knowledge workers’. Efficient delivery of housing, in tower blocks and denser suburbs, will become less of a driver of urban design. Communities can be focussed on education, sports, culture and recreation, providing social connections rather than products, and overall a decrease in service delivery. ( Paragraph 13 Trans Error: Unknown )We cover social trends under these headings: ( Paragraph 14 Trans Error: Unknown )
This is the current summary of our conclusions in this area: ( Paragraph 31 Trans Error: Unknown )3.7.6 Despite outbreaks of nationalism and identity politics, over the long term, on a global scale, most societies are becoming more tolerant of diversity. For the foreseeable future there will still be sufficiently many threats to society to provide grounds for social cohesion: we need concerted action on climate change, preservation of the environment, responding to population declines, increasing automation and the risk of increasing financial inequality. So children will need firm nurturing to counter the bewildering complexity of the future. Work life must be managed, and the pursuit of productivity which has dominated the last few centuries will have to be abated, to share around the available work, and its accompanying sense of connection and income distribution. Currently highly profitable global social media companies must be forced to monitor their online worlds to prevent distributing grossly misleading statements and to prevent harm. Local communities can be better planned to foster local connections, through community groups in education, sport and culture as well as commerce. We do not have to feel as though we are in valueless material world. We can actively promote, and reasonably hope for, better social lives for everyone. more (later) ( Paragraph 32 Trans Error: Unknown )( Paragraph 33 Trans Error: Unknown )
Los miembros pueden compartir su opinión sobre esta página. ¿Cómo podemos mejorarla? Deja tus comentarios. * * * * * * *
|
|
English (English)
Español (Spanish)
Reconocemos a los propietarios y custodios tradicionales del territorio, en todas las tierras colonizadas, y sus vínculos con la tierra, las aguas y la comunidad. Rendimos homenaje a estos pueblos dando voz a la verdad, los valores y la justicia social, reconociendo nuestra historia compartida y valorando las culturas de los pueblos originarios.
Copyright 2008 - ". date("Y") ." Trevor J Rogers, a la atención de la dirección que aparece en esta página. Reservados todos los derechos. Salvo cualquier uso legítimo con fines de estudio, investigación, crítica o reseña privados, según lo permitido por la Ley de Derechos de Autor, ninguna parte podrá reproducirse mediante ningún proceso sin la autorización escrita del titular de los derechos de autor. Cualquier reproducción autorizada solo se permite con la atribución completa de la fuente, haciendo referencia a este sitio y a este aviso de derechos de autor. Se afirma el derecho moral del autor.
Arriba